Cost to heat a home in Tennessee: electricity vs gas
With electricity at 13.18 cents per kWh and natural gas at $11.84 per Mcf in 2025, one MMBtu of heat costs $12.03 from a gas furnace, $12.88 from a heat pump and $38.63 from resistance heating in Tennessee.
Your Tennessee heating cost
Tennessee inputs: 13.18 ¢ per kWh, $11.84 per Mcf, fuel only; the need is an illustration. Method.
The numbers
- Electricity 2025
- 13.18 ¢/kWhrank 35 of 45 states by price
- Natural gas 2025
- $11.84 per Mcfrank 30 of 45 states by gas price
- Gas furnace
- $12.03 per MMBtu95% efficiency, rank 30 of 45
- Heat pump
- $12.88 per MMBturank 11 of 45 states, COP 3.0 assumed
- Electric resistance
- $38.63 per MMBtu3.2 times a furnace
- Break-even COP
- 3.21a heat pump above it beats gas; rank 20 of 45
- Annual cost at 50 MMBtu
- $644 heat pumpfuel only
- Homes heated by electricity
- 63%31% utility gas, 4% propane, 0% oil
- Electricity since 2024
- +6.1%
- Gas since 2024
- +10.1%
- 2026 to date
- power +4.9%, gas +10.3%January to Jul against 2025
- Winter load
- +50% over spring and fallsummer +51%: a summer-peaking state
- Heating degree-days, normal year
- 3,9611991 to 2020; 2025 had 3,549, rank 31 of 42 states by normal HDD
- Occupied homes in Tennessee (ACS 2023)
- 2,768,7431,751,307 electric, 854,198 utility gas, 101,220 propane, 7,851 oil; 77 of 95 counties are over half electric
- Generating capacity in Tennessee
- 23,342 MWEIA-860 2025; 1,202 MW under construction
Tennessee charts
One MMBtu of heat in Tennessee
$12.03 gas, $12.88 heat pump, $38.63 resistance.
Tennessee, Cost of one MMBtu of heat in Tennessee: EIA retail sales and natural gas prices.
CSVPrices since 2015, Tennessee
Electricity $38.63 and gas $11 per MMBtu of energy in 2025.
Fuel cost per MMBtu, Tennessee, 2015 to 2025: 11 rows
| Year | Tennessee electricity | Tennessee gas |
|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 30.2 | 9.3 |
| 2016 | 30.5 | 8.9 |
| 2017 | 31.4 | 10.0 |
| 2018 | 31.4 | 9.1 |
| 2019 | 31.9 | 9.1 |
| 2020 | 31.5 | 8.7 |
| 2021 | 32.4 | 9.9 |
| 2022 | 35.9 | 12.0 |
| 2023 | 35.7 | 11.3 |
| 2024 | 36.4 | 10.4 |
| 2025 | 38.6 | 11.4 |
11 rows from EIA retail sales and natural gas prices.
CSVHow Tennessee heats
63% electric.
Tennessee, How Tennessee homes are heated: Census ACS 2023, table B25040.
CSVBreak-even COP by month, Tennessee
1.73 to 3.92 across the months shown.
Break-even COP by month, Tennessee: 12 rows
| Month | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | 3.92 | 3.36 |
| Feb | 3.50 | 2.82 |
| Mar | 3.45 | 2.80 |
| Apr | 2.88 | 2.87 |
| May | 2.39 | 2.48 |
| Jun | 2.09 | 2.05 |
| Jul | 1.80 | 1.94 |
| Aug | 1.73 | No data |
| Sep | 1.87 | No data |
| Oct | 1.85 | No data |
| Nov | 2.95 | No data |
| Dec | 3.28 | No data |
12 rows from EIA retail sales.
CSVHow Tennessee homes heat
| Tennessee main fuel | Tennessee homes | Tennessee share | Tennessee rank among states |
|---|---|---|---|
| Electricity | 1,751,307 | 63.3% | 4 of 45 |
| Utility gas | 854,198 | 30.9% | 39 of 45 |
| Propane | 101,220 | 3.7% | 32 of 45 |
| Fuel oil | 7,851 | 0.3% | 27 of 45 |
| Wood | 34,589 | 1.2% | 26 of 45 |
Tennessee has 23,342 MW of operable generating capacity (EIA-860, 2025), largest in natural gas at 7,388 MW; 1,202 MW is under construction and 3,150 MW planned, which matters if heat pumps add winter load.
73 Tennessee utilities report meters to EIA-861: 95.4% of 3,166,532 home meters are smart (AMI), 6 offer a home time-of-use rate and 9,879 homes are on dynamic pricing.
Tennessee counties by electric heating
Largest electric share first, then the smallest; 20 counties.
| Tennessee county | Tennessee residents | Tennessee electric heat | Tennessee utility gas | Tennessee propane | Tennessee median income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union County | 20,141 | 87% | 2% | 4% | $61,858 |
| Sullivan County | 159,693 | 86% | 10% | 2% | $56,802 |
| Grainger County | 23,929 | 84% | 1% | 7% | $51,351 |
| Claiborne County | 32,221 | 83% | 5% | 4% | $46,587 |
| Greene County | 70,919 | 83% | 6% | 6% | $54,071 |
| Hamblen County | 64,930 | 82% | 14% | 2% | $52,794 |
| Washington County | 134,693 | 80% | 15% | 3% | $61,051 |
| Bradley County | 109,743 | 79% | 15% | 3% | $63,789 |
| Jefferson County | 55,835 | 79% | 14% | 5% | $63,084 |
| Monroe County | 47,054 | 78% | 10% | 6% | $56,648 |
| Hardeman County | 25,477 | 45% | 43% | 9% | $46,173 |
| Hardin County | 26,939 | 45% | 39% | 11% | $49,149 |
| Madison County | 98,845 | 45% | 48% | 5% | $58,189 |
| Morgan County | 21,193 | 42% | 44% | 7% | $57,408 |
| Williamson County | 254,609 | 42% | 54% | 3% | $131,202 |
| Lauderdale County | 24,933 | 41% | 52% | 5% | $49,205 |
| Tipton County | 61,339 | 37% | 58% | 3% | $71,736 |
| Fayette County | 42,653 | 37% | 52% | 9% | $84,764 |
| Henderson County | 27,906 | 36% | 59% | 2% | $53,471 |
| Scott County | 21,969 | 35% | 54% | 6% | $42,679 |
Tennessee month by month
| Month | Tennessee electricity ¢/kWh | Tennessee gas $/Mcf | Heat pump $/MMBtu | Gas furnace $/MMBtu | Tennessee break-even COP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | 13.71 | $20.35 | $13.4 | $20.7 | 1.94 |
| Jun 2026 | 14.07 | $19.75 | $13.7 | $20.1 | 2.05 |
| May 2026 | 14.47 | $16.83 | $14.1 | $17.1 | 2.48 |
| Apr 2026 | 14.94 | $15.04 | $14.6 | $15.3 | 2.87 |
| Mar 2026 | 15.08 | $15.54 | $14.7 | $15.8 | 2.80 |
| Feb 2026 | 12.82 | $13.12 | $12.5 | $13.3 | 2.82 |
| Jan 2026 | 13.10 | $11.23 | $12.8 | $11.4 | 3.36 |
| Dec 2025 | 12.87 | $11.31 | $12.6 | $11.5 | 3.28 |
| Nov 2025 | 13.47 | $13.18 | $13.2 | $13.4 | 2.95 |
| Oct 2025 | 13.06 | $20.41 | $12.8 | $20.7 | 1.85 |
| Sep 2025 | 13.29 | $20.52 | $13.0 | $20.8 | 1.87 |
| Aug 2025 | 13.02 | $21.67 | $12.7 | $22.0 | 1.73 |
| Jul 2025 | 13.21 | $21.12 | $12.9 | $21.5 | 1.80 |
| Jun 2025 | 13.82 | $19.03 | $13.5 | $19.3 | 2.09 |
| May 2025 | 13.73 | $16.54 | $13.4 | $16.8 | 2.39 |
| Apr 2025 | 13.91 | $13.92 | $13.6 | $14.1 | 2.88 |
| Mar 2025 | 13.37 | $11.18 | $13.1 | $11.4 | 3.45 |
| Feb 2025 | 12.54 | $10.34 | $12.3 | $10.5 | 3.50 |
| Jan 2025 | 12.58 | $9.26 | $12.3 | $9.4 | 3.92 |
Heating season
A normal year in Tennessee brings 3,961 heating degree-days and 1,369 cooling degree-days (1991 to 2020). Months above 300 heating degree-days in a normal year: Jan, Feb, Mar, Nov, Dec. 2025 had 3,549, 10% below normal; the highest of 2015 to 2025 was 3,844 in 2018.
Tennessee degree-days by year
Heating and cooling degree-days, Tennessee, 2015 to 2025: 11 rows
| Tennessee year | Heating (HDD) | Cooling (CDD) | Normal HDD | Normal CDD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 3569 | 1460 | 3961 | 1369 |
| 2016 | 3437 | 1764 | 3961 | 1369 |
| 2017 | 3167 | 1368 | 3961 | 1369 |
| 2018 | 3844 | 1722 | 3961 | 1369 |
| 2019 | 3483 | 1651 | 3961 | 1369 |
| 2020 | 3432 | 1391 | 3961 | 1369 |
| 2021 | 3503 | 1399 | 3961 | 1369 |
| 2022 | 3820 | 1519 | 3961 | 1369 |
| 2023 | 3152 | 1356 | 3961 | 1369 |
| 2024 | 3189 | 1606 | 3961 | 1369 |
| 2025 | 3549 | 1571 | 3961 | 1369 |
NOAA nClimDiv degree-days for Tennessee, 2015 to 2025, pulled 2 Oct 2026.
CSVHeating degree-days by month
Heating degree-days by month, Tennessee: 12 rows
| Month | 2025 | Normal |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | 1000 | 860 |
| Feb | 608 | 701 |
| Mar | 391 | 520 |
| Apr | 133 | 234 |
| May | 71 | 77 |
| Jun | 0 | 3 |
| Jul | 0 | 0 |
| Aug | 0 | 0 |
| Sep | 16 | 26 |
| Oct | 168 | 224 |
| Nov | 433 | 519 |
| Dec | 729 | 797 |
NOAA nClimDiv degree-days for Tennessee by month, 2025.
CSVTennessee, 2025 by month: 12 rows
| Month | HDD 2025 | HDD normal | CDD 2025 | CDD normal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 1,000 | 860 | 0 | 2 |
| Feb | 608 | 701 | 0 | 1 |
| Mar | 391 | 520 | 22 | 11 |
| Apr | 133 | 234 | 43 | 17 |
| May | 71 | 77 | 113 | 116 |
| Jun | 0 | 3 | 330 | 274 |
| Jul | 0 | 0 | 477 | 378 |
| Aug | 0 | 0 | 329 | 349 |
| Sep | 16 | 26 | 207 | 187 |
| Oct | 168 | 224 | 49 | 33 |
| Nov | 433 | 519 | 1 | 1 |
| Dec | 729 | 797 | 0 | 0 |
NOAA nClimDiv degree-days for Tennessee, 2025 by month.
CSVAnalyst note
Electric heating stands out in Tennessee: 63.3% of 2,768,743 homes, rank 4 of 45. Main heating fuel in Tennessee is electricity (63% of homes); electricity heats 63% and utility gas 31%. Since 2024 electricity moved +6.1% and gas +10.1%; in 2026 to date power is +4.9% and gas +10.3% on a year earlier. A COP 3.0 heat pump trails a furnace here by $0.85 per MMBtu; the break-even COP of 3.21 ranks 20 of 45. The most electric counties of Tennessee with 20,000+ residents are led by Union County at 87% of homes. A normal Tennessee year has 3,961 heating degree-days, and 2025 had 3,549, so heating demand ran 10% below the 1991 to 2020 normal.
States with a similar break-even
| State near Tennessee | Break-even COP near Tennessee | Gas, $ per MMBtu | Heat pump, $ per MMBtu |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia | 3.22 | $14.02 | $15.05 |
| Wyoming | 3.29 | $11.93 | $13.07 |
| Nebraska | 3.12 | $11.58 | $12.05 |
| Delaware | 3.09 | $16.23 | $16.73 |
| Massachusetts | 3.51 | $25.46 | $29.78 |
| Ohio | 3.53 | $14.07 | $16.57 |
Questions on heating in Tennessee
How electric is heating in Tennessee?
63.3% of 2,768,743 homes, 1,751,307 in all, ranks 4 of 45 states; 77 of 95 counties are over half electric.
Is a heat pump cheaper than gas in Tennessee?
No on fuel cost: $12.88 per MMBtu against $12.03 for gas, break-even COP 3.21.
Which Tennessee county has the most electric heating?
Union County: 87% of 7,771 homes among counties with 20,000+ residents, median income $61,858.
What share of Tennessee homes heat with electricity?
63% of 2,768,743 occupied homes in ACS 2023, against 31% with utility gas.
Where does Tennessee rank on heat pump cost?
11 of 45 at $12.88 per MMBtu; North Dakota is lowest at $11.54.
Is Tennessee a winter or summer electricity state?
Summer use runs +51% over spring and fall, winter +50%: cooling drives the load.
Did gas or electricity get more expensive in Tennessee in 2026?
January to Jul: electricity +4.9%, gas +10.3% on a year earlier.
How much generating capacity does Tennessee have?
23,342 MW operable in 2025, 1,202 MW under construction, 3,150 MW planned (EIA-860).
How many Tennessee homes have smart meters?
95.4% of 3,166,532 home meters, 6 of 73 reporting utilities offer time-of-use.
More on Tennessee
- Tennessee electricity ratesutilities, map, outages
- Average electric bill in Tennesseetypical bill by month