Electric Consumer

Editor: Katerine G., Editor & Data Researcher · Research & publishing: Electric Consumer Editorial Team · Data retrieved · Sources named on this page: EIA-861, EIA retail sales, EIA-860/923, Census ACS, NOAA · How we got these numbers · Report an error

Cost to heat a home in Arizona: electricity vs gas

With electricity at 15.32 cents per kWh and natural gas at $18.58 per Mcf in 2025, one MMBtu of heat costs $18.88 from a gas furnace, $14.97 from a heat pump and $44.90 from resistance heating in Arizona.

Your Arizona heating cost

    Arizona inputs: 15.32 ¢ per kWh, $18.58 per Mcf, fuel only; the need is an illustration. Method.

    The numbers

    Electricity 2025
    15.32 ¢/kWhrank 23 of 45 states by price
    Natural gas 2025
    $18.58 per Mcfrank 9 of 45 states by gas price
    Gas furnace
    $18.88 per MMBtu95% efficiency, rank 9 of 45
    Heat pump
    $14.97 per MMBturank 23 of 45 states, COP 3.0 assumed
    Electric resistance
    $44.90 per MMBtu2.4 times a furnace
    Break-even COP
    2.38a heat pump above it beats gas; rank 8 of 45
    Annual cost at 50 MMBtu
    $748 heat pumpfuel only
    Homes heated by electricity
    60%33% utility gas, 3% propane, 0% oil
    Electricity since 2024
    +2.7%
    Gas since 2024
    -9.2%
    2026 to date
    power +0.9%, gas +9.3%January to Jul against 2025
    Winter load
    -15% over spring and fallsummer +82%: a summer-peaking state
    Heating degree-days, normal year
    2,2071991 to 2020; 2025 had 1,560, rank 39 of 42 states by normal HDD
    Occupied homes in Arizona (ACS 2023)
    2,796,7901,676,252 electric, 930,324 utility gas, 80,149 propane, 2,527 oil; 6 of 15 counties are over half electric
    Generating capacity in Arizona
    35,563 MWEIA-860 2025; 5,756 MW under construction

    Arizona charts

    One MMBtu of heat in Arizona

    $18.88 gas, $14.97 heat pump, $44.90 resistance.

    $ per MMBtu

    • Electric resistance44.9
    • Heat pump, COP 3.015.0
    • Gas furnace, 95%18.9

    Arizona, Cost of one MMBtu of heat in Arizona: EIA retail sales and natural gas prices.

    CSV

    Prices since 2015, Arizona

    Electricity $44.90 and gas $18 per MMBtu of energy in 2025.

    Fuel cost per MMBtu, Arizona, 2015 to 2025: 11 rows
    YearArizona electricityArizona gas
    201535.516.4
    201635.614.7
    201736.515.2
    201837.414.8
    201936.413.0
    202036.012.6
    202136.815.0
    202238.217.2
    202341.118.8
    202443.719.8
    202544.917.9

    11 rows from EIA retail sales and natural gas prices.

    CSV

    How Arizona heats

    60% electric.

    % of homes

    • Electricity59.9
    • Utility gas33.3
    • Propane2.9
    • Fuel oil0.1
    • Wood1.7

    Arizona, How Arizona homes are heated: Census ACS 2023, table B25040.

    CSV

    Break-even COP by month, Arizona

    1.63 to 2.80 across the months shown.

    Break-even COP by month, Arizona: 12 rows
    Month20252026
    Jan2.682.61
    Feb2.682.61
    Mar2.802.28
    Apr2.522.14
    May2.151.96
    Jun1.851.77
    Jul1.711.69
    Aug1.63No data
    Sep1.65No data
    Oct1.89No data
    Nov2.27No data
    Dec2.49No data

    12 rows from EIA retail sales.

    CSV

    How Arizona homes heat

    Arizona main fuelArizona homesArizona shareArizona rank among states
    Electricity1,676,25259.9%6 of 45
    Utility gas930,32433.3%36 of 45
    Propane80,1492.9%37 of 45
    Fuel oil2,5270.1%42 of 45
    Wood46,8781.7%19 of 45

    Arizona has 35,563 MW of operable generating capacity (EIA-860, 2025), largest in natural gas at 17,386 MW; 5,756 MW is under construction and 5,617 MW planned, which matters if heat pumps add winter load.

    11 Arizona utilities report meters to EIA-861: 93.4% of 3,498,562 home meters are smart (AMI), 10 offer a home time-of-use rate and 1,226,276 homes are on dynamic pricing.

    Arizona counties by electric heating

    Largest electric share first, then the smallest; 13 counties.

    Arizona countyArizona residentsArizona electric heatArizona utility gasArizona propaneArizona median income
    Yuma County207,68571%18%4%$60,417
    Maricopa County4,491,98769%28%1%$85,518
    Pinal County449,21962%33%2%$77,588
    Santa Cruz County48,20960%28%9%$53,614
    Mohave County217,42058%33%6%$55,799
    Pima County1,049,94744%51%2%$67,929
    Gila County53,61042%36%11%$59,089
    Graham County38,86035%51%6%$67,326
    Cochise County125,45834%50%12%$58,970
    Yavapai County241,65631%50%14%$66,106
    Coconino County144,64326%48%8%$69,748
    Navajo County107,74422%28%13%$52,752
    Apache County65,68017%7%13%$40,338

    Arizona month by month

    MonthArizona electricity ¢/kWhArizona gas $/McfHeat pump $/MMBtuGas furnace $/MMBtuArizona break-even COP
    Jul 202615.38$26.31$15.0$26.71.69
    Jun 202615.18$24.74$14.8$25.11.77
    May 202615.23$22.44$14.9$22.81.96
    Apr 202615.48$20.88$15.1$21.22.14
    Mar 202615.59$19.69$15.2$20.02.28
    Feb 202616.03$17.73$15.7$18.02.61
    Jan 202615.61$17.24$15.2$17.52.61
    Dec 202515.46$17.90$15.1$18.22.49
    Nov 202515.66$19.89$15.3$20.22.27
    Oct 202515.55$23.74$15.2$24.11.89
    Sep 202515.27$26.72$14.9$27.11.65
    Aug 202515.17$26.90$14.8$27.31.63
    Jul 202515.34$25.84$15.0$26.31.71
    Jun 202515.23$23.70$14.9$24.11.85
    May 202515.71$21.06$15.3$21.42.15
    Apr 202515.67$17.91$15.3$18.22.52
    Mar 202515.14$15.58$14.8$15.82.80
    Feb 202515.20$16.36$14.8$16.62.68
    Jan 202514.72$15.84$14.4$16.12.68

    Heating season

    A normal year in Arizona brings 2,207 heating degree-days and 2,707 cooling degree-days (1991 to 2020). Months above 300 heating degree-days in a normal year: Jan, Feb, Dec. 2025 had 1,560, 29% below normal; the highest of 2015 to 2025 was 2,087 in 2019.

    Arizona degree-days by year

    Heating and cooling degree-days, Arizona, 2015 to 2025: 11 rows
    Arizona yearHeating (HDD)Cooling (CDD)Normal HDDNormal CDD
    20151778312922072707
    20161624321922072707
    20171473333822072707
    20181733324622072707
    20192087297522072707
    20201834355722072707
    20211723315222072707
    20222061318722072707
    20232062317522072707
    20241910349322072707
    20251560331322072707

    NOAA nClimDiv degree-days for Arizona, 2015 to 2025, pulled 2 Oct 2026.

    CSV

    Heating degree-days by month

    Heating degree-days by month, Arizona: 12 rows
    Month2025Normal
    Jan540520
    Feb222376
    Mar221292
    Apr101135
    May1733
    Jun13
    Jul00
    Aug00
    Sep24
    Oct3363
    Nov150278
    Dec273503

    NOAA nClimDiv degree-days for Arizona by month, 2025.

    CSV
    Arizona, 2025 by month: 12 rows
    MonthHDD 2025HDD normalCDD 2025CDD normal
    Jan54052001
    Feb222376297
    Mar2212924125
    Apr10113511490
    May1733307247
    Jun13585487
    Jul00711654
    Aug00746595
    Sep24497428
    Oct3363214155
    Nov1502786018
    Dec27350390

    NOAA nClimDiv degree-days for Arizona, 2025 by month.

    CSV

    Analyst note

    Fuel oil stands out in Arizona: 2,527 homes, 0.1%, rank 42 of 45. Main heating fuel in Arizona is electricity (60% of homes); electricity heats 60% and utility gas 33%. Since 2024 electricity moved +2.7% and gas -9.2%; in 2026 to date power is +0.9% and gas +9.3% on a year earlier. A COP 3.0 heat pump beats a furnace here by $3.91 per MMBtu; the break-even COP of 2.38 ranks 8 of 45. The most electric counties of Arizona with 20,000+ residents are led by Yuma County at 71% of homes. A normal Arizona year has 2,207 heating degree-days, and 2025 had 1,560, so heating demand ran 29% below the 1991 to 2020 normal.

    States with a similar break-even

    State near ArizonaBreak-even COP near ArizonaGas, $ per MMBtuHeat pump, $ per MMBtu
    Mississippi2.43$16.92$13.71
    Texas2.30$19.73$15.11
    Hawaii2.24$53.22$39.65
    Missouri2.60$15.18$13.18
    Washington2.15$17.90$12.81
    Virginia2.62$17.06$14.93

    Questions on heating in Arizona

    How many Arizona homes heat with fuel oil?

    2,527 of 2,796,790 homes, 0.1%, ranks 42 of 45 states; oil is not priced in this comparison.

    Is a heat pump cheaper than gas in Arizona?

    Yes on fuel cost: $14.97 per MMBtu against $18.88 for gas, break-even COP 2.38.

    Which Arizona county has the most electric heating?

    Yuma County: 71% of 76,903 homes among counties with 20,000+ residents, median income $60,417.

    What share of Arizona homes heat with electricity?

    60% of 2,796,790 occupied homes in ACS 2023, against 33% with utility gas.

    Where does Arizona rank on heat pump cost?

    23 of 45 at $14.97 per MMBtu; North Dakota is lowest at $11.54.

    Is Arizona a winter or summer electricity state?

    Summer use runs +82% over spring and fall, winter -15%: cooling drives the load.

    Did gas or electricity get more expensive in Arizona in 2026?

    January to Jul: electricity +0.9%, gas +9.3% on a year earlier.

    How much generating capacity does Arizona have?

    35,563 MW operable in 2025, 5,756 MW under construction, 5,617 MW planned (EIA-860).

    How many Arizona homes have smart meters?

    93.4% of 3,498,562 home meters, 10 of 11 reporting utilities offer time-of-use.

    More on Arizona

    Share this page

    With electricity at 15.32 cents per kWh and natural gas at $18.58 per Mcf in 2025, one MMBtu of heat costs $18.88 from a gas furnace, $14.97 from a heat pump and $44.90…