Cost to heat a home in Kentucky: electricity vs gas
With electricity at 13.13 cents per kWh and natural gas at $14.23 per Mcf in 2025, one MMBtu of heat costs $14.46 from a gas furnace, $12.83 from a heat pump and $38.48 from resistance heating in Kentucky.
Your Kentucky heating cost
Kentucky inputs: 13.13 ¢ per kWh, $14.23 per Mcf, fuel only; the need is an illustration. Method.
The numbers
- Electricity 2025
- 13.13 ¢/kWhrank 38 of 45 states by price
- Natural gas 2025
- $14.23 per Mcfrank 24 of 45 states by gas price
- Gas furnace
- $14.46 per MMBtu95% efficiency, rank 24 of 45
- Heat pump
- $12.83 per MMBturank 8 of 45 states, COP 3.0 assumed
- Electric resistance
- $38.48 per MMBtu2.7 times a furnace
- Break-even COP
- 2.66a heat pump above it beats gas; rank 14 of 45
- Annual cost at 50 MMBtu
- $641 heat pumpfuel only
- Homes heated by electricity
- 54%36% utility gas, 6% propane, 1% oil
- Electricity since 2024
- +2.7%
- Gas since 2024
- +4.6%
- 2026 to date
- power +8.9%, gas +10.7%January to Aug against 2025
- Winter load
- +65% over spring and fallsummer +58%: a winter-peaking state
- Heating degree-days, normal year
- 4,3961991 to 2020; 2025 had 4,275, rank 29 of 42 states by normal HDD
- Occupied homes in Kentucky (ACS 2023)
- 1,791,991973,813 electric, 639,384 utility gas, 113,154 propane, 12,283 oil; 94 of 120 counties are over half electric
- Generating capacity in Kentucky
- 22,180 MWEIA-860 2025; 1,467 MW under construction
Kentucky charts
One MMBtu of heat in Kentucky
$14.46 gas, $12.83 heat pump, $38.48 resistance.
Kentucky, Cost of one MMBtu of heat in Kentucky: EIA retail sales and natural gas prices.
CSVPrices since 2015, Kentucky
Electricity $38.48 and gas $14 per MMBtu of energy in 2025.
Fuel cost per MMBtu, Kentucky, 2015 to 2025: 11 rows
| Year | Kentucky electricity | Kentucky gas |
|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 30.0 | 10.5 |
| 2016 | 30.7 | 9.8 |
| 2017 | 31.8 | 11.2 |
| 2018 | 31.1 | 10.2 |
| 2019 | 31.7 | 10.5 |
| 2020 | 31.9 | 10.8 |
| 2021 | 33.7 | 11.8 |
| 2022 | 37.8 | 14.1 |
| 2023 | 37.1 | 15.0 |
| 2024 | 37.5 | 13.1 |
| 2025 | 38.5 | 13.7 |
11 rows from EIA retail sales and natural gas prices.
CSVHow Kentucky heats
54% electric.
Kentucky, How Kentucky homes are heated: Census ACS 2023, table B25040.
CSVBreak-even COP by month, Kentucky
1.08 to 3.60 across the months shown.
Break-even COP by month, Kentucky: 12 rows
| Month | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | 3.60 | 3.24 |
| Feb | 3.19 | 2.68 |
| Mar | 2.60 | 2.25 |
| Apr | 2.29 | 1.60 |
| May | 1.59 | 1.47 |
| Jun | 1.22 | 1.24 |
| Jul | 1.09 | 1.08 |
| Aug | 1.11 | No data |
| Sep | 1.18 | No data |
| Oct | 1.97 | No data |
| Nov | 2.79 | No data |
| Dec | 3.02 | No data |
12 rows from EIA retail sales.
CSVHow Kentucky homes heat
| Kentucky main fuel | Kentucky homes | Kentucky share | Kentucky rank among states |
|---|---|---|---|
| Electricity | 973,813 | 54.3% | 11 of 45 |
| Utility gas | 639,384 | 35.7% | 33 of 45 |
| Propane | 113,154 | 6.3% | 19 of 45 |
| Fuel oil | 12,283 | 0.7% | 22 of 45 |
| Wood | 37,390 | 2.1% | 16 of 45 |
Kentucky has 22,180 MW of operable generating capacity (EIA-860, 2025), largest in coal at 10,261 MW; 1,467 MW is under construction and 1,895 MW planned, which matters if heat pumps add winter load.
23 Kentucky utilities report meters to EIA-861: 81.4% of 2,090,402 home meters are smart (AMI), 9 offer a home time-of-use rate and 6,868 homes are on dynamic pricing.
Kentucky counties by electric heating
Largest electric share first, then the smallest; 20 counties.
| Kentucky county | Kentucky residents | Kentucky electric heat | Kentucky utility gas | Kentucky propane | Kentucky median income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harlan County | 26,185 | 85% | 3% | 5% | $37,198 |
| Pulaski County | 65,503 | 82% | 10% | 3% | $50,943 |
| Laurel County | 62,731 | 81% | 9% | 6% | $56,999 |
| Madison County | 94,064 | 81% | 15% | 2% | $62,407 |
| Pike County | 57,466 | 79% | 13% | 4% | $42,179 |
| Letcher County | 21,146 | 78% | 4% | 12% | $40,501 |
| Bell County | 23,878 | 77% | 13% | 2% | $32,403 |
| Allen County | 21,029 | 76% | 9% | 7% | $59,029 |
| Lincoln County | 24,415 | 75% | 11% | 4% | $50,862 |
| Perry County | 27,847 | 74% | 16% | 6% | $45,261 |
| Oldham County | 68,600 | 45% | 50% | 4% | $121,491 |
| Greenup County | 35,639 | 44% | 42% | 10% | $59,613 |
| Campbell County | 93,193 | 43% | 48% | 5% | $77,271 |
| Logan County | 27,731 | 43% | 30% | 24% | $61,535 |
| McCracken County | 67,584 | 42% | 50% | 7% | $62,385 |
| Kenton County | 169,817 | 41% | 52% | 4% | $79,421 |
| Marshall County | 31,728 | 40% | 43% | 15% | $63,611 |
| Jefferson County | 777,392 | 38% | 60% | 1% | $67,849 |
| Graves County | 36,612 | 38% | 37% | 21% | $50,576 |
| Daviess County | 103,195 | 32% | 63% | 4% | $65,323 |
Kentucky month by month
| Month | Kentucky electricity ¢/kWh | Kentucky gas $/Mcf | Heat pump $/MMBtu | Gas furnace $/MMBtu | Kentucky break-even COP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | 13.81 | $36.74 | $13.5 | $37.3 | 1.08 |
| Jun 2026 | 14.26 | $33.20 | $13.9 | $33.7 | 1.24 |
| May 2026 | 14.98 | $29.48 | $14.6 | $30.0 | 1.47 |
| Apr 2026 | 15.02 | $27.06 | $14.7 | $27.5 | 1.60 |
| Mar 2026 | 14.89 | $19.12 | $14.5 | $19.4 | 2.25 |
| Feb 2026 | 13.42 | $14.45 | $13.1 | $14.7 | 2.68 |
| Jan 2026 | 14.27 | $12.72 | $13.9 | $12.9 | 3.24 |
| Dec 2025 | 13.10 | $12.52 | $12.8 | $12.7 | 3.02 |
| Nov 2025 | 13.58 | $14.02 | $13.3 | $14.2 | 2.79 |
| Oct 2025 | 13.48 | $19.73 | $13.2 | $20.0 | 1.97 |
| Sep 2025 | 13.40 | $32.62 | $13.1 | $33.1 | 1.18 |
| Aug 2025 | 13.10 | $34.09 | $12.8 | $34.6 | 1.11 |
| Jul 2025 | 13.06 | $34.65 | $12.8 | $35.2 | 1.09 |
| Jun 2025 | 13.34 | $31.63 | $13.0 | $32.1 | 1.22 |
| May 2025 | 13.78 | $25.00 | $13.5 | $25.4 | 1.59 |
| Apr 2025 | 13.62 | $17.12 | $13.3 | $17.4 | 2.29 |
| Mar 2025 | 13.12 | $14.55 | $12.8 | $14.8 | 2.60 |
| Feb 2025 | 12.66 | $11.43 | $12.4 | $11.6 | 3.19 |
| Jan 2025 | 12.31 | $9.86 | $12.0 | $10.0 | 3.60 |
Heating season
A normal year in Kentucky brings 4,396 heating degree-days and 1,227 cooling degree-days (1991 to 2020). Months above 300 heating degree-days in a normal year: Jan, Feb, Mar, Nov, Dec. 2025 had 4,275, 3% below normal; the highest of 2015 to 2025 was 4,474 in 2022.
Kentucky degree-days by year
Heating and cooling degree-days, Kentucky, 2015 to 2025: 11 rows
| Kentucky year | Heating (HDD) | Cooling (CDD) | Normal HDD | Normal CDD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 4303 | 1247 | 4396 | 1227 |
| 2016 | 4075 | 1498 | 4396 | 1227 |
| 2017 | 3802 | 1161 | 4396 | 1227 |
| 2018 | 4466 | 1530 | 4396 | 1227 |
| 2019 | 4190 | 1439 | 4396 | 1227 |
| 2020 | 4078 | 1208 | 4396 | 1227 |
| 2021 | 4165 | 1259 | 4396 | 1227 |
| 2022 | 4474 | 1304 | 4396 | 1227 |
| 2023 | 3681 | 1163 | 4396 | 1227 |
| 2024 | 3667 | 1421 | 4396 | 1227 |
| 2025 | 4275 | 1394 | 4396 | 1227 |
NOAA nClimDiv degree-days for Kentucky, 2015 to 2025, pulled 2 Oct 2026.
CSVHeating degree-days by month
Heating degree-days by month, Kentucky: 12 rows
| Month | 2025 | Normal |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | 1137 | 956 |
| Feb | 739 | 757 |
| Mar | 460 | 592 |
| Apr | 213 | 275 |
| May | 113 | 103 |
| Jun | 0 | 7 |
| Jul | 0 | 0 |
| Aug | 0 | 1 |
| Sep | 25 | 42 |
| Oct | 206 | 256 |
| Nov | 535 | 567 |
| Dec | 847 | 840 |
NOAA nClimDiv degree-days for Kentucky by month, 2025.
CSVKentucky, 2025 by month: 12 rows
| Month | HDD 2025 | HDD normal | CDD 2025 | CDD normal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 1,137 | 956 | 0 | 1 |
| Feb | 739 | 757 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar | 460 | 592 | 17 | 9 |
| Apr | 213 | 275 | 18 | 12 |
| May | 113 | 103 | 87 | 106 |
| Jun | 0 | 7 | 308 | 245 |
| Jul | 0 | 0 | 459 | 355 |
| Aug | 0 | 1 | 291 | 320 |
| Sep | 25 | 42 | 182 | 156 |
| Oct | 206 | 256 | 32 | 23 |
| Nov | 535 | 567 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec | 847 | 840 | 0 | 0 |
NOAA nClimDiv degree-days for Kentucky, 2025 by month.
CSVAnalyst note
Price change stands out in Kentucky: electricity +2.7% since 2024, rank 36 of 45. Main heating fuel in Kentucky is electricity (54% of homes); electricity heats 54% and utility gas 36%. Since 2024 electricity moved +2.7% and gas +4.6%; in 2026 to date power is +8.9% and gas +10.7% on a year earlier. A COP 3.0 heat pump beats a furnace here by $1.63 per MMBtu; the break-even COP of 2.66 ranks 14th of 45. The most electric counties of Kentucky with 20,000+ residents are led by Harlan County at 85% of homes. A normal Kentucky year has 4,396 heating degree-days, and 2025 had 4,275, so heating demand ran 3% below the 1991 to 2020 normal.
States with a similar break-even
Questions on heating in Kentucky
How fast did Kentucky electricity prices move since 2024?
+2.7% from 12.79 to 13.13 cents per kWh, rank 36 of 45 states by change.
Is a heat pump cheaper than gas in Kentucky?
Yes on fuel cost: $12.83 per MMBtu against $14.46 for gas, break-even COP 2.66.
Which Kentucky county has the most electric heating?
Harlan County: 85% of 10,500 homes among counties with 20,000+ residents, median income $37,198.
What share of Kentucky homes heat with electricity?
54% of 1,791,991 occupied homes in ACS 2023, against 36% with utility gas.
Where does Kentucky rank on heat pump cost?
8 of 45 at $12.83 per MMBtu; North Dakota is lowest at $11.55.
Is Kentucky a winter or summer electricity state?
Winter use runs +65% over spring and fall, summer +58%: heating drives the load.
Did gas or electricity get more expensive in Kentucky in 2026?
January to Aug: electricity +8.9%, gas +10.7% on a year earlier.
How much generating capacity does Kentucky have?
22,180 MW operable in 2025, 1,467 MW under construction, 1,895 MW planned (EIA-860).
How many Kentucky homes have smart meters?
81.4% of 2,090,402 home meters, 9 of 23 reporting utilities offer time-of-use.
More on Kentucky
- Kentucky electricity ratesutilities, map, outages
- Average electric bill in Kentuckytypical bill by month