Cost to heat a home in North Dakota: electricity vs gas
With electricity at 11.81 cents per kWh and natural gas at $9.50 per Mcf in 2025, one MMBtu of heat costs $9.65 from a gas furnace, $11.54 from a heat pump and $34.61 from resistance heating in North Dakota.
Your North Dakota heating cost
North Dakota inputs: 11.81 ¢ per kWh, $9.5 per Mcf, fuel only; the need is an illustration. Method.
The numbers
- Electricity 2025
- 11.81 ¢/kWhrank 45 of 45 states by price
- Natural gas 2025
- $9.50 per Mcfrank 43 of 45 states by gas price
- Gas furnace
- $9.65 per MMBtu95% efficiency, rank 43 of 45
- Heat pump
- $11.54 per MMBturank 1 of 45 states, COP 3.0 assumed
- Electric resistance
- $34.61 per MMBtu3.6 times a furnace
- Break-even COP
- 3.59a heat pump above it beats gas; rank 25 of 45
- Annual cost at 50 MMBtu
- $577 heat pumpfuel only
- Homes heated by electricity
- 40%41% utility gas, 14% propane, 2% oil
- Electricity since 2024
- +2.6%
- Gas since 2024
- +5.7%
- 2026 to date
- power +7.4%, gas +8.4%January to Jul against 2025
- Winter load
- +83% over spring and fallsummer +6%: a winter-peaking state
- Heating degree-days, normal year
- 9,6191991 to 2020; 2025 had 8,818, rank 1 of 42 states by normal HDD
- Occupied homes in North Dakota (ACS 2023)
- 325,079129,646 electric, 134,835 utility gas, 44,535 propane, 5,942 oil; 5 of 53 counties are over half electric
- Generating capacity in North Dakota
- 10,973 MWEIA-860 2025; 250 MW under construction
North Dakota charts
One MMBtu of heat in North Dakota
$9.65 gas, $11.54 heat pump, $34.61 resistance.
North Dakota, Cost of one MMBtu of heat in North Dakota: EIA retail sales and natural gas prices.
CSVPrices since 2015, North Dakota
Electricity $34.61 and gas $9 per MMBtu of energy in 2025.
Fuel cost per MMBtu, North Dakota, 2015 to 2025: 11 rows
| Year | North Dakota electricity | North Dakota gas |
|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 28.2 | 7.9 |
| 2016 | 29.8 | 7.0 |
| 2017 | 30.2 | 7.4 |
| 2018 | 30.0 | 6.9 |
| 2019 | 30.2 | 6.8 |
| 2020 | 30.6 | 6.6 |
| 2021 | 31.8 | 8.8 |
| 2022 | 32.0 | 10.5 |
| 2023 | 32.3 | 9.4 |
| 2024 | 33.7 | 8.7 |
| 2025 | 34.6 | 9.2 |
11 rows from EIA retail sales and natural gas prices.
CSVHow North Dakota heats
40% electric.
North Dakota, How North Dakota homes are heated: Census ACS 2023, table B25040.
CSVBreak-even COP by month, North Dakota
1.40 to 4.17 across the months shown.
Break-even COP by month, North Dakota: 12 rows
| Month | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | 3.80 | 3.76 |
| Feb | 3.96 | 3.62 |
| Mar | 4.09 | 4.17 |
| Apr | 3.75 | 3.92 |
| May | 3.18 | 3.45 |
| Jun | 2.43 | 2.24 |
| Jul | 1.53 | 1.40 |
| Aug | 1.41 | No data |
| Sep | 1.66 | No data |
| Oct | 2.33 | No data |
| Nov | 3.58 | No data |
| Dec | 3.74 | No data |
12 rows from EIA retail sales.
CSVHow North Dakota homes heat
| North Dakota main fuel | North Dakota homes | North Dakota share | North Dakota rank among states |
|---|---|---|---|
| Electricity | 129,646 | 39.9% | 18 of 45 |
| Utility gas | 134,835 | 41.5% | 28 of 45 |
| Propane | 44,535 | 13.7% | 4 of 45 |
| Fuel oil | 5,942 | 1.8% | 11 of 45 |
| Wood | 1,196 | 0.4% | 39 of 45 |
North Dakota has 10,973 MW of operable generating capacity (EIA-860, 2025), largest in wind at 4,729 MW; 250 MW is under construction and 2,441 MW planned, which matters if heat pumps add winter load.
6 North Dakota utilities report meters to EIA-861: 60.9% of 430,594 home meters are smart (AMI), 5 offer a home time-of-use rate and 34,955 homes are on dynamic pricing.
North Dakota counties by electric heating
Largest electric share first, then the smallest; 8 counties.
| North Dakota county | North Dakota residents | North Dakota electric heat | North Dakota utility gas | North Dakota propane | North Dakota median income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cass County | 189,286 | 49% | 43% | 4% | $75,023 |
| Grand Forks County | 72,764 | 46% | 41% | 8% | $68,450 |
| Williams County | 39,368 | 43% | 42% | 13% | $90,224 |
| Stark County | 33,116 | 36% | 54% | 5% | $80,744 |
| Ward County | 69,232 | 34% | 57% | 7% | $79,273 |
| Stutsman County | 21,525 | 30% | 52% | 13% | $60,172 |
| Burleigh County | 98,986 | 26% | 64% | 7% | $84,948 |
| Morton County | 33,479 | 18% | 65% | 13% | $79,483 |
North Dakota month by month
| Month | North Dakota electricity ¢/kWh | North Dakota gas $/Mcf | Heat pump $/MMBtu | Gas furnace $/MMBtu | North Dakota break-even COP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | 13.41 | $27.68 | $13.1 | $28.1 | 1.40 |
| Jun 2026 | 14.12 | $18.21 | $13.8 | $18.5 | 2.24 |
| May 2026 | 13.61 | $11.39 | $13.3 | $11.6 | 3.45 |
| Apr 2026 | 12.35 | $9.08 | $12.1 | $9.2 | 3.92 |
| Mar 2026 | 11.95 | $8.27 | $11.7 | $8.4 | 4.17 |
| Feb 2026 | 11.64 | $9.27 | $11.4 | $9.4 | 3.62 |
| Jan 2026 | 10.92 | $8.38 | $10.7 | $8.5 | 3.76 |
| Dec 2025 | 11.02 | $8.49 | $10.8 | $8.6 | 3.74 |
| Nov 2025 | 11.93 | $9.61 | $11.7 | $9.8 | 3.58 |
| Oct 2025 | 12.82 | $15.85 | $12.5 | $16.1 | 2.33 |
| Sep 2025 | 13.66 | $23.73 | $13.3 | $24.1 | 1.66 |
| Aug 2025 | 12.97 | $26.53 | $12.7 | $27.0 | 1.41 |
| Jul 2025 | 13.31 | $25.06 | $13.0 | $25.5 | 1.53 |
| Jun 2025 | 13.71 | $16.28 | $13.4 | $16.5 | 2.43 |
| May 2025 | 13.10 | $11.88 | $12.8 | $12.1 | 3.18 |
| Apr 2025 | 11.72 | $9.02 | $11.4 | $9.2 | 3.75 |
| Mar 2025 | 11.11 | $7.84 | $10.9 | $8.0 | 4.09 |
| Feb 2025 | 10.23 | $7.46 | $10.0 | $7.6 | 3.96 |
| Jan 2025 | 9.95 | $7.55 | $9.7 | $7.7 | 3.80 |
Heating season
A normal year in North Dakota brings 9,619 heating degree-days and 423 cooling degree-days (1991 to 2020). Months above 300 heating degree-days in a normal year: Jan, Feb, Mar, Apr, May, Oct, Nov, Dec. 2025 had 8,818, 8% below normal; the highest of 2015 to 2025 was 10,201 in 2019.
North Dakota degree-days by year
Heating and cooling degree-days, North Dakota, 2015 to 2025: 11 rows
| North Dakota year | Heating (HDD) | Cooling (CDD) | Normal HDD | Normal CDD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 8350 | 501 | 9619 | 423 |
| 2016 | 8003 | 489 | 9619 | 423 |
| 2017 | 8828 | 475 | 9619 | 423 |
| 2018 | 9658 | 526 | 9619 | 423 |
| 2019 | 10201 | 392 | 9619 | 423 |
| 2020 | 8860 | 533 | 9619 | 423 |
| 2021 | 8373 | 697 | 9619 | 423 |
| 2022 | 9856 | 531 | 9619 | 423 |
| 2023 | 8957 | 565 | 9619 | 423 |
| 2024 | 8187 | 519 | 9619 | 423 |
| 2025 | 8818 | 475 | 9619 | 423 |
NOAA nClimDiv degree-days for North Dakota, 2015 to 2025, pulled 2 Oct 2026.
CSVHeating degree-days by month
Heating degree-days by month, North Dakota: 12 rows
| Month | 2025 | Normal |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | 1719 | 1819 |
| Feb | 1666 | 1505 |
| Mar | 1026 | 1260 |
| Apr | 688 | 705 |
| May | 289 | 365 |
| Jun | 113 | 134 |
| Jul | 41 | 47 |
| Aug | 56 | 68 |
| Sep | 143 | 275 |
| Oct | 495 | 655 |
| Nov | 979 | 1160 |
| Dec | 1603 | 1626 |
NOAA nClimDiv degree-days for North Dakota by month, 2025.
CSVNorth Dakota, 2025 by month: 12 rows
| Month | HDD 2025 | HDD normal | CDD 2025 | CDD normal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 1,719 | 1,819 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb | 1,666 | 1,505 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar | 1,026 | 1,260 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr | 688 | 705 | 0 | 1 |
| May | 289 | 365 | 27 | 19 |
| Jun | 113 | 134 | 86 | 79 |
| Jul | 41 | 47 | 167 | 174 |
| Aug | 56 | 68 | 132 | 129 |
| Sep | 143 | 275 | 63 | 21 |
| Oct | 495 | 655 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov | 979 | 1,160 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec | 1,603 | 1,626 | 0 | 0 |
NOAA nClimDiv degree-days for North Dakota, 2025 by month.
CSVAnalyst note
Cold stands out in North Dakota: 9,619 heating degree-days in a normal year, rank 1 of 42. Main heating fuel in North Dakota is utility gas (41% of homes); electricity heats 40% and utility gas 41%. Since 2024 electricity moved +2.6% and gas +5.7%; in 2026 to date power is +7.4% and gas +8.4% on a year earlier. A COP 3.0 heat pump trails a furnace here by $1.88 per MMBtu; the break-even COP of 3.59 ranks 25 of 45. The most electric counties of North Dakota with 20,000+ residents are led by Cass County at 49% of homes. A normal North Dakota year has 9,619 heating degree-days, and 2025 had 8,818, so heating demand ran 8% below the 1991 to 2020 normal.
States with a similar break-even
| State near North Dakota | Break-even COP near North Dakota | Gas, $ per MMBtu | Heat pump, $ per MMBtu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio | 3.53 | $14.07 | $16.57 |
| Massachusetts | 3.51 | $25.46 | $29.78 |
| Vermont | 3.67 | $18.29 | $22.39 |
| Utah | 3.70 | $10.35 | $12.77 |
| Pennsylvania | 3.70 | $15.28 | $18.85 |
| Iowa | 3.73 | $10.78 | $13.40 |
Questions on heating in North Dakota
How cold is a normal North Dakota winter?
9,619 heating degree-days a year in 1991 to 2020, rank 1 of 42 states; 2025 had 8,818.
Is a heat pump cheaper than gas in North Dakota?
No on fuel cost: $11.54 per MMBtu against $9.65 for gas, break-even COP 3.59.
Which North Dakota county has the most electric heating?
Cass County: 49% of 81,668 homes among counties with 20,000+ residents, median income $75,023.
What share of North Dakota homes heat with electricity?
40% of 325,079 occupied homes in ACS 2023, against 41% with utility gas.
Where does North Dakota rank on heat pump cost?
1 of 45 at $11.54 per MMBtu; North Dakota is lowest at $11.54.
Is North Dakota a winter or summer electricity state?
Winter use runs +83% over spring and fall, summer +6%: heating drives the load.
Did gas or electricity get more expensive in North Dakota in 2026?
January to Jul: electricity +7.4%, gas +8.4% on a year earlier.
How much generating capacity does North Dakota have?
10,973 MW operable in 2025, 250 MW under construction, 2,441 MW planned (EIA-860).
How many North Dakota homes have smart meters?
60.9% of 430,594 home meters, 5 of 6 reporting utilities offer time-of-use.
More on North Dakota
- North Dakota electricity ratesutilities, map, outages
- Average electric bill in North Dakotatypical bill by month