Solar in North Dakota: payback, sun by city and utility-scale capacity
North Dakota pays back in 19.2 years at $3.00 a watt (rank 50 of 51), 5.7 years longer than the middle state. 1,326 kWh per kW (rank 33) at 11.81 ¢ (rank 51 from the top): sunshine drives it. Across 5 North Dakota cities, yearly output runs from 1,282 kWh per kW in Grand Forks to 1,383 in Bismarck. Jul is the best month at 163 kWh per kW and Dec the worst at 54. Utility-scale solar in North Dakota: 0 MW in 0 plants, 0.0% of 2025 generation; 295 MW more under construction or planned.
North Dakota: payback 19.2 years, rank 50 of 51
| Measure | Value | Rank of 51 | Median state |
|---|---|---|---|
| Output of 1 kW a year, kWh | 1,326 | 33 | 1,372 |
| Home price, ¢ per kWh | 11.81 | 51 | 15.37 |
| Value of 1 kW a year | $157 | 50 | $222 |
| Payback at $3.00 a watt | 19.2 years | 50 | 13.5 years |
EIA-861 (2024): 246 home net-metered systems in North Dakota, 0.6 per 1,000 accounts (rank 48), average 5.6 kW.
North Dakota utilities and solar payback
| North Dakota utility | Homes | Price ¢ | Value of 1 kW | Payback at $3.00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana-Dakota Utilities Co | 79,354 | 11.72 | $155 | 19.3 yr |
| Cass County Elec Coop Inc | 51,968 | 12.45 | $165 | 18.2 yr |
| Nodak Electric Coop Inc | 20,803 | 12.08 | $160 | 18.7 yr |
| Capital Electric Coop, Inc | 19,530 | 12.31 | $163 | 18.4 yr |
| Verendrye Electric Coop Inc | 14,336 | 10.70 | $142 | 21.1 yr |
| Mountrail-Williams Elec Coop | 11,405 | 7.24 | $96 | 31.2 yr |
| Roughrider Electric Cooperativ | 11,183 | 10.24 | $136 | 22.1 yr |
| Northern Plains Electric Coop | 10,393 | 10.65 | $141 | 21.2 yr |
| North Central Elec Coop, Inc | 6,061 | 10.90 | $145 | 20.8 yr |
| Dakota Valley Elec Coop Inc | 5,721 | 12.01 | $159 | 18.8 yr |
| McKenzie Electric Coop Inc | 5,382 | 7.86 | $104 | 28.8 yr |
| McLean Electric Coop, Inc | 3,711 | 14.25 | $189 | 15.9 yr |
Sizes and prices per watt in North Dakota
| North Dakota kW | kWh a year | Value a year | Cost at $2.50 | At $3.00 | At $3.50 | t CO2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5,304 | $626 | $10,000 | $12,000 | $14,000 | 3.1 |
| 6 | 7,957 | $940 | $15,000 | $18,000 | $21,000 | 4.6 |
| 8 | 10,609 | $1,253 | $20,000 | $24,000 | $28,000 | 6.2 |
| 10 | 13,261 | $1,566 | $25,000 | $30,000 | $35,000 | 7.7 |
| 12 | 15,913 | $1,879 | $30,000 | $36,000 | $42,000 | 9.3 |
| North Dakota $ per watt | 100% retail | 75% | 50% | 25% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2.00 | 12.8 | 17.0 | 25.5 | 51.1 |
| $2.50 | 16.0 | 21.3 | 31.9 | 63.9 |
| $3.00 | 19.2 | 25.5 | 38.3 | 76.6 |
| $3.50 | 22.3 | 29.8 | 44.7 | 89.4 |
| $4.00 | 25.5 | 34.1 | 51.1 | 102.2 |
North Dakota: 1,326 kWh/kW × 11.81 ¢ = 157 a year per kW; the 30% column (13.4 years at $3.00) is arithmetic only.
CSVNet metering and CO2 in North Dakota
EIA-861 (2024): 246 home net-metered systems in North Dakota, 0.6 per 1,000 accounts (rank 48), average 5.6 kW.
6 kW in North Dakota: 7,957 kWh a year displaces 4.6 t CO2 at 0.584 kg per kWh, +1.6 t against the average state.
Sun inside North Dakota: 5 cities, 8% apart
| North Dakota city | kWh per kW a year | Against state point | Sun, kWh/m2 a day | Payback at $3.00 | Residents |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fargo | 1,304 | -1.6% | 4.49 | 19.5 | 129,064 |
| Bismarck | 1,383 | +4.3% | 4.77 | 18.4 | 74,146 |
| Grand Forks | 1,282 | -3.3% | 4.40 | 19.8 | 58,882 |
| Minot | 1,316 | -0.8% | 4.53 | 19.3 | 47,922 |
| Williston | 1,331 | +0.3% | 4.60 | 19.1 | 27,964 |
North Dakota state point 47.31, -99.23; city points Fargo 46.87, -96.83; Bismarck 46.81, -100.77; Grand Forks 47.92, -97.09; Minot 48.24, -101.28; Williston 48.19, -103.65. Panel and method: solar method.
Output by month in North Dakota cities: 12 rows
| North Dakota month | Fargo | Bismarck | Grand Forks | Minot | Williston |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 67.6 | 66.5 | 63.9 | 56.4 | 56.4 |
| Feb | 78.5 | 90.6 | 71.0 | 77.1 | 68.0 |
| Mar | 118.5 | 121.7 | 116.8 | 111.0 | 117.4 |
| Apr | 137.8 | 139.1 | 135.3 | 142.1 | 141.5 |
| May | 131.1 | 148.1 | 144.6 | 152.3 | 157.0 |
| Jun | 145.4 | 150.8 | 137.4 | 149.5 | 151.5 |
| Jul | 159.4 | 167.9 | 160.2 | 159.7 | 167.3 |
| Aug | 145.7 | 152.5 | 145.8 | 151.4 | 154.9 |
| Sep | 118.1 | 120.7 | 116.7 | 118.7 | 120.3 |
| Oct | 88.3 | 93.2 | 86.8 | 86.9 | 84.8 |
| Nov | 58.5 | 71.8 | 53.8 | 58.3 | 60.4 |
| Dec | 55.4 | 60.5 | 49.9 | 52.1 | 51.1 |
North Dakota: 5 cities, best month 168 and worst 50 kWh per kW across them.
CSVBest and worst month in North Dakota: Jul 163, Dec 54 kWh per kW
| North Dakota month | kWh per kW | Price ¢ | Value per kW | kWh per kW per sun unit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 63.7 | 9.95 | $6.34 | 0.88 |
| Feb | 77.6 | 10.23 | $7.94 | 0.86 |
| Mar | 107.7 | 11.11 | $11.97 | 0.84 |
| Apr | 131.7 | 11.72 | $15.44 | 0.80 |
| May | 148.0 | 13.10 | $19.39 | 0.78 |
| Jun | 149.6 | 13.71 | $20.51 | 0.76 |
| Jul | 163.4 | 13.31 | $21.75 | 0.75 |
| Aug | 143.9 | 12.97 | $18.66 | 0.75 |
| Sep | 124.4 | 13.66 | $16.99 | 0.78 |
| Oct | 96.9 | 12.82 | $12.42 | 0.82 |
| Nov | 65.8 | 11.93 | $7.85 | 0.85 |
| Dec | 53.6 | 11.02 | $5.91 | 0.87 |
North Dakota: December to February give 15% of a year (rank 5 of 51, 1 = most winter); the best month is 3.0 times the worst. Output per unit of sun is highest in Jan (0.88) and lowest in Jul (0.75); PVWatts lowers cell output when the panel is hot, and the sun angle changes with the season. Our runs use one fixed 14% loss figure for every place, so snow or soiling in North Dakota is not modelled separately.
Utility-scale solar in North Dakota: 0 MW
EIA-860 (2025) lists no operable utility-scale solar plant in North Dakota; proposed: 295 MW.
North Dakota among its neighbours
| Closest to North Dakota | Payback, years | kWh per kW | Price, ¢ | Utility-scale solar, points of generation | Miles away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota (this page) | 19.2 | 1,326 | 11.81 | 0.0 | - |
| South Dakota | -3.1 | +74 | +1.57 | +2.0 | 232 |
| Minnesota | -5.1 | +27 | +4.01 | +5.0 | 315 |
| Nebraska | -2.3 | +113 | +0.53 | +0.7 | 437 |
| Iowa | -3.2 | +46 | +1.91 | +1.7 | 480 |
North Dakota against its neighbours in the payback ranking
- -1 places, Montana -1.6 years against North Dakota
- +0 places, Idaho -0.6 years against North Dakota
- North Dakota, rank 50: 19.2 years
- +2 places, Washington +2.4 years against North Dakota
Your numbers for North Dakota
Limits in North Dakota
North Dakota: with the old 30% credit (IRS, ended 2025) payback would be 13.4 years instead of 19.2, so the calculator starts at 0%. No North Dakota export rates in our data: output counts at 11.81 ¢. All limits.
Sources for North Dakota
- PVWatts v8 (NLR), 5 North Dakota cities and one state point: 1,326 kWh per kW
- EIA-860 2025 and EIA-923 2025: 0 MW of solar in North Dakota
- EIA-861 2024: 246 net-metered systems in North Dakota
- EIA retail sales 2025: 11.81 ¢ per kWh in North Dakota
- IRS 25D (ended 2025): 13.4 years in North Dakota with it; licences and periods for North Dakota
More about North Dakota
North Dakota electricity hub, North Dakota EV charging: 108 stations, where North Dakota ranks for rooftop solar, 19.2 years against 51 states, North Dakota calculators.
Questions
North Dakota utility-scale solar capacity?
0 MW in 0 plants (EIA-860), 0 W per resident, rank 51; 295 MW proposed.
North Dakota electricity from solar, what share?
0.0% of 2025 net generation, rank 51 of 51, -6.8 points against the nation.
Solar payback in North Dakota?
19.2 years at $3.00 a watt; 16.0 at $2.50; 22.3 at $3.50; 1,326 kWh per kW at 11.81 ¢.
Net metering in North Dakota?
246 systems, 0.6 per 1,000 accounts, rank 48.
Winter cut in North Dakota solar output?
December to February give 15% of the year; Jul makes 163 kWh per kW and Dec 54.
North Dakota sunshine for solar panels?
1,326 kWh per kW a year at the state point, rank 33 of 51; from 1,282 in Grand Forks to 1,383 in Bismarck.
Where in North Dakota is solar best?
Yes: 8% between Grand Forks and Bismarck in yearly output.
North Dakota pays half price for exports?
Payback 38.3 years at a 50% retail share.
CO2 displaced in North Dakota?
4.6 t a year on 6 kW at 0.584 kg per kWh.
Federal solar credit in North Dakota: still available?
Ended 2025 (IRS 25D); with it North Dakota payback would be 13.4 years, not 19.2.