Solar in Tennessee: payback, sun by city and utility-scale capacity
Tennessee pays back in 16.4 years at $3.00 a watt (rank 43 of 51), 2.9 years longer than the middle state. 1,385 kWh per kW (rank 22) at 13.18 ¢ (rank 41 from the top): sunshine drives it. Across 5 Tennessee cities, yearly output runs from 1,335 kWh per kW in Chattanooga to 1,439 in Memphis. May is the best month at 147 kWh per kW and Jan the worst at 77. Utility-scale solar in Tennessee: 819 MW in 45 plants, 1.7% of 2025 generation; 966 MW more under construction or planned.
Tennessee: payback 16.4 years, rank 43 of 51
| Measure | Value | Rank of 51 | Median state |
|---|---|---|---|
| Output of 1 kW a year, kWh | 1,385 | 22 | 1,372 |
| Home price, ¢ per kWh | 13.18 | 41 | 15.37 |
| Value of 1 kW a year | $183 | 43 | $222 |
| Payback at $3.00 a watt | 16.4 years | 43 | 13.5 years |
EIA-861 (2024): 87 home net-metered systems in Tennessee, 0.0 per 1,000 accounts (rank 50), average 6.9 kW.
Sizes and prices per watt in Tennessee
| Tennessee kW | kWh a year | Value a year | Cost at $2.50 | At $3.00 | At $3.50 | t CO2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5,540 | $730 | $10,000 | $12,000 | $14,000 | 1.7 |
| 6 | 8,309 | $1,095 | $15,000 | $18,000 | $21,000 | 2.5 |
| 8 | 11,079 | $1,460 | $20,000 | $24,000 | $28,000 | 3.3 |
| 10 | 13,849 | $1,825 | $25,000 | $30,000 | $35,000 | 4.1 |
| 12 | 16,619 | $2,190 | $30,000 | $36,000 | $42,000 | 5.0 |
| Tennessee $ per watt | 100% retail | 75% | 50% | 25% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2.00 | 11.0 | 14.6 | 21.9 | 43.8 |
| $2.50 | 13.7 | 18.3 | 27.4 | 54.8 |
| $3.00 | 16.4 | 21.9 | 32.9 | 65.7 |
| $3.50 | 19.2 | 25.6 | 38.3 | 76.7 |
| $4.00 | 21.9 | 29.2 | 43.8 | 87.7 |
Tennessee: 1,385 kWh/kW × 13.18 ¢ = 183 a year per kW; the 30% column (11.5 years at $3.00) is arithmetic only.
CSVSun inside Tennessee: 5 cities, 8% apart
| Tennessee city | kWh per kW a year | Against state point | Sun, kWh/m2 a day | Payback at $3.00 | Residents |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville | 1,338 | -3.4% | 4.82 | 17.0 | 684,298 |
| Memphis | 1,439 | +3.9% | 5.17 | 15.8 | 629,063 |
| Knoxville | 1,345 | -2.9% | 4.94 | 16.9 | 193,721 |
| Chattanooga | 1,335 | -3.6% | 4.99 | 17.0 | 182,832 |
| Clarksville | 1,343 | -3.0% | 4.89 | 16.9 | 171,897 |
Tennessee state point 35.80, -86.69; city points Nashville 36.17, -86.78; Memphis 35.11, -89.97; Knoxville 35.97, -83.95; Chattanooga 35.07, -85.25; Clarksville 36.57, -87.34. Panel and method: solar method.
Output by month in Tennessee cities: 12 rows
| Tennessee month | Nashville | Memphis | Knoxville | Chattanooga | Clarksville |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 75.7 | 88.3 | 77.7 | 85.0 | 78.4 |
| Feb | 84.4 | 91.7 | 85.9 | 88.8 | 83.9 |
| Mar | 111.9 | 120.4 | 115.9 | 112.0 | 112.6 |
| Apr | 122.9 | 129.7 | 128.7 | 129.2 | 133.0 |
| May | 140.5 | 149.5 | 136.1 | 137.5 | 138.5 |
| Jun | 132.3 | 144.9 | 134.4 | 121.4 | 137.8 |
| Jul | 137.5 | 148.1 | 130.1 | 128.8 | 141.9 |
| Aug | 132.7 | 138.5 | 132.0 | 129.6 | 130.7 |
| Sep | 123.0 | 130.2 | 118.2 | 117.9 | 125.9 |
| Oct | 109.0 | 115.0 | 112.9 | 110.6 | 105.8 |
| Nov | 90.0 | 98.3 | 93.0 | 96.6 | 87.6 |
| Dec | 78.7 | 84.0 | 80.3 | 77.9 | 67.3 |
Tennessee: 5 cities, best month 150 and worst 67 kWh per kW across them.
CSVBest and worst month in Tennessee: May 147, Jan 77 kWh per kW
| Tennessee month | kWh per kW | Price ¢ | Value per kW | kWh per kW per sun unit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 77.0 | 12.58 | $9.69 | 0.82 |
| Feb | 86.8 | 12.54 | $10.88 | 0.80 |
| Mar | 116.6 | 13.37 | $15.59 | 0.78 |
| Apr | 131.0 | 13.91 | $18.22 | 0.75 |
| May | 146.7 | 13.73 | $20.14 | 0.74 |
| Jun | 143.7 | 13.82 | $19.86 | 0.72 |
| Jul | 141.2 | 13.21 | $18.65 | 0.71 |
| Aug | 133.6 | 13.02 | $17.39 | 0.71 |
| Sep | 122.5 | 13.29 | $16.28 | 0.72 |
| Oct | 111.5 | 13.06 | $14.56 | 0.75 |
| Nov | 95.9 | 13.47 | $12.92 | 0.79 |
| Dec | 78.3 | 12.87 | $10.08 | 0.81 |
Tennessee: December to February give 17% of a year (rank 22 of 51, 1 = most winter); the best month is 1.9 times the worst. Output per unit of sun is highest in Jan (0.82) and lowest in Aug (0.71); PVWatts lowers cell output when the panel is hot, and the sun angle changes with the season. Our runs use one fixed 14% loss figure for every place, so snow or soiling in Tennessee is not modelled separately.
Utility-scale solar in Tennessee: 819 MW
Tennessee: 819 MW of operable utility-scale solar in 45 plants across 26 counties (EIA-860, 2025), rank 31 of 51; 117 W per resident, rank 42. Solar made 1.7% of Tennessee's net generation in 2025 (EIA-923), rank 38, -5.1 points against the national share. Biggest plants: Ridgely Energy Farm in Lake County, 177 MW (2025); Elora Solar in Lincoln County, 150 MW (2022); OETN1 in Obion County, 100 MW (2023). By county: Lake 177 MW, Lincoln 150 MW, Obion 100 MW, Madison 87 MW. Proposed: 424 MW under construction (9 plants) and 542 MW planned (9 plants); batteries 0 MW running and 70 MW proposed.
| Tennessee year | MW added | Cumulative share of today's MW |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 3 | 0% |
| 2020 | 2 | 1% |
| 2021 | 9 | 2% |
| 2022 | 171 | 22% |
| 2023 | 214 | 49% |
| 2024 | 17 | 51% |
| 2025 | 226 | 78% |
Net metering and CO2 in Tennessee
EIA-861 (2024): 87 home net-metered systems in Tennessee, 0.0 per 1,000 accounts (rank 50), average 6.9 kW.
6 kW in Tennessee: 8,309 kWh a year displaces 2.5 t CO2 at 0.298 kg per kWh, -0.5 t against the average state.
Tennessee utilities and solar payback
| Tennessee utility | Homes | Price ¢ | Value of 1 kW | Payback at $3.00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville Electric Service | 417,640 | 13.47 | $187 | 16.1 yr |
| City of Memphis | 380,286 | 12.16 | $168 | 17.8 yr |
| Middle Tennessee E M C | 307,370 | 11.76 | $163 | 18.4 yr |
| Knoxville Utilities Board | 193,707 | 12.54 | $174 | 17.3 yr |
| City of Chattanooga | 164,417 | 12.32 | $171 | 17.6 yr |
| Volunteer Electric Coop | 104,387 | 12.19 | $169 | 17.8 yr |
| Cumberland Elec Member Corp | 100,585 | 12.99 | $180 | 16.7 yr |
| City of Clarksville | 75,953 | 12.77 | $177 | 17.0 yr |
| Johnson City | 72,205 | 12.41 | $172 | 17.5 yr |
| Duck River Elec Member Corp | 71,342 | 12.50 | $173 | 17.3 yr |
| City of Lenoir | 62,455 | 11.95 | $166 | 18.1 yr |
| Upper Cumberland E M C | 45,560 | 12.77 | $177 | 17.0 yr |
Tennessee among its neighbours
| Closest to Tennessee | Payback, years | kWh per kW | Price, ¢ | Utility-scale solar, points of generation | Miles away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee (this page) | 16.4 | 1,385 | 13.18 | 1.7 | - |
| Kentucky | +0.5 | -45 | +0.06 | +0.5 | 168 |
| Alabama | -3.0 | -2 | +2.92 | -0.7 | 193 |
| Georgia | -2.0 | +28 | +1.55 | +6.0 | 239 |
| Mississippi | -0.8 | -15 | +0.85 | +2.0 | 279 |
Tennessee against its neighbours in the payback ranking
- -1 places, Louisiana -0.4 years against Tennessee
- +0 places, West Virginia -0.2 years against Tennessee
- Tennessee, rank 43: 16.4 years
- +2 places, Nebraska +0.5 years against Tennessee
- +3 places, Kentucky +0.5 years against Tennessee
Your numbers for Tennessee
Limits in Tennessee
Tennessee: with the old 30% credit (IRS, ended 2025) payback would be 11.5 years instead of 16.4, so the calculator starts at 0%. No Tennessee export rates in our data: output counts at 13.18 ¢. All limits.
Sources for Tennessee
- PVWatts v8 (NLR), 5 Tennessee cities and one state point: 1,385 kWh per kW
- EIA-860 2025 and EIA-923 2025: 819 MW of solar in Tennessee
- EIA-861 2024: 87 net-metered systems in Tennessee
- EIA retail sales 2025: 13.18 ¢ per kWh in Tennessee
- IRS 25D (ended 2025): 11.5 years in Tennessee with it; licences and periods for Tennessee
More about Tennessee
Tennessee electricity hub, Tennessee EV charging: 1,126 stations, where Tennessee ranks for rooftop solar, 16.4 years against 51 states, Tennessee calculators.
Questions
Solar payback in Tennessee?
16.4 years at $3.00 a watt; 13.7 at $2.50; 19.2 at $3.50; 1,385 kWh per kW at 13.18 ¢.
Tennessee utility-scale solar capacity?
819 MW in 45 plants (EIA-860), 117 W per resident, rank 42; 966 MW proposed.
Tennessee electricity from solar, what share?
1.7% of 2025 net generation, rank 38 of 51, -5.1 points against the nation.
Tennessee sunshine for solar panels?
1,385 kWh per kW a year at the state point, rank 22 of 51; from 1,335 in Chattanooga to 1,439 in Memphis.
Winter cut in Tennessee solar output?
December to February give 17% of the year; May makes 147 kWh per kW and Jan 77.
Where in Tennessee is solar best?
Yes: 8% between Chattanooga and Memphis in yearly output.
Tennessee pays half price for exports?
Payback 32.9 years at a 50% retail share.
CO2 displaced in Tennessee?
2.5 t a year on 6 kW at 0.298 kg per kWh.
Federal solar credit in Tennessee: still available?
Ended 2025 (IRS 25D); with it Tennessee payback would be 11.5 years, not 16.4.
6 kW system output in Tennessee?
8,309 kWh a year, worth $1,095 at the retail price.