Solar in Alaska: payback, sun by city and utility-scale capacity
Across 5 Alaska cities, yearly output runs from 675 kWh per kW in Juneau to 951 in Anchorage. May is the best month at 153 kWh per kW and Dec the worst at 13. Alaska pays back in 11.3 years at $3.00 a watt (rank 15 of 51), 2.2 years shorter than the middle state. 1,017 kWh per kW (rank 51) at 26.09 ¢ (rank 8 from the top): price of power drives it. Utility-scale solar in Alaska: 8 MW in 2 plants, 0.1% of 2025 generation; 0 MW more under construction or planned.
Best and worst month in Alaska: May 153, Dec 13 kWh per kW
| Alaska month | kWh per kW | Price ¢ | Value per kW | kWh per kW per sun unit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 20.4 | 24.73 | $5.04 | 0.79 |
| Feb | 42.4 | 24.76 | $10.50 | 0.84 |
| Mar | 98.2 | 25.79 | $25.33 | 0.85 |
| Apr | 138.8 | 25.96 | $36.03 | 0.82 |
| May | 153.2 | 26.08 | $39.95 | 0.79 |
| Jun | 145.9 | 26.87 | $39.20 | 0.78 |
| Jul | 141.2 | 27.30 | $38.55 | 0.77 |
| Aug | 112.5 | 27.71 | $31.17 | 0.78 |
| Sep | 67.8 | 27.16 | $18.41 | 0.80 |
| Oct | 52.6 | 26.46 | $13.92 | 0.82 |
| Nov | 31.5 | 26.18 | $8.25 | 0.80 |
| Dec | 12.6 | 25.54 | $3.22 | 0.71 |
Alaska: December to February give 7% of a year (rank 1 of 51, 1 = most winter); the best month is 12.2 times the worst. Output per unit of sun is highest in Mar (0.85) and lowest in Dec (0.71); PVWatts lowers cell output when the panel is hot, and the sun angle changes with the season. Our runs use one fixed 14% loss figure for every place, so snow or soiling in Alaska is not modelled separately.
Sun inside Alaska: 5 cities, 34% apart
| Alaska city | kWh per kW a year | Against state point | Sun, kWh/m2 a day | Payback at $3.00 | Residents |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anchorage | 951 | -6.5% | 3.15 | 12.1 | 289,069 |
| Fairbanks | 933 | -8.3% | 3.21 | 12.3 | 32,242 |
| Juneau | 675 | -33.6% | 2.33 | 17.0 | 31,969 |
| Sitka | 703 | -30.9% | 2.41 | 16.4 | 8,393 |
| Ketchikan | 818 | -19.6% | 2.88 | 14.1 | 8,151 |
Alaska state point 61.44, -148.94; city points Anchorage 61.17, -149.28; Fairbanks 64.84, -147.65; Juneau 58.37, -134.18; Sitka 57.19, -135.37; Ketchikan 55.36, -131.68. Panel and method: solar method.
Output by month in Alaska cities: 12 rows
| Alaska month | Anchorage | Fairbanks | Juneau | Sitka | Ketchikan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 21.3 | 12.1 | 15.4 | 21.9 | 28.5 |
| Feb | 36.6 | 35.1 | 24.1 | 43.1 | 36.8 |
| Mar | 95.3 | 87.7 | 45.8 | 61.6 | 77.9 |
| Apr | 128.9 | 138.5 | 87.6 | 88.9 | 107.7 |
| May | 153.7 | 154.0 | 102.4 | 105.8 | 121.6 |
| Jun | 149.9 | 148.7 | 112.7 | 93.4 | 111.6 |
| Jul | 127.8 | 125.2 | 95.4 | 83.7 | 102.0 |
| Aug | 89.4 | 105.2 | 80.1 | 81.8 | 85.8 |
| Sep | 67.6 | 74.7 | 43.7 | 55.2 | 62.2 |
| Oct | 44.7 | 37.4 | 33.6 | 36.4 | 43.0 |
| Nov | 26.7 | 11.1 | 20.9 | 19.8 | 25.3 |
| Dec | 8.8 | 3.0 | 13.2 | 11.4 | 15.1 |
Alaska: 5 cities, best month 154 and worst 3 kWh per kW across them.
CSVAlaska: payback 11.3 years, rank 15 of 51
| Measure | Value | Rank of 51 | Median state |
|---|---|---|---|
| Output of 1 kW a year, kWh | 1,017 | 51 | 1,372 |
| Home price, ¢ per kWh | 26.09 | 8 | 15.37 |
| Value of 1 kW a year | $265 | 15 | $222 |
| Payback at $3.00 a watt | 11.3 years | 15 | 13.5 years |
EIA-861 (2024): 2,771 home net-metered systems in Alaska, 9.3 per 1,000 accounts (rank 34), average 5.4 kW.
Sizes and prices per watt in Alaska
| Alaska kW | kWh a year | Value a year | Cost at $2.50 | At $3.00 | At $3.50 | t CO2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4,068 | $1,061 | $10,000 | $12,000 | $14,000 | 1.5 |
| 6 | 6,103 | $1,592 | $15,000 | $18,000 | $21,000 | 2.2 |
| 8 | 8,137 | $2,123 | $20,000 | $24,000 | $28,000 | 3.0 |
| 10 | 10,171 | $2,654 | $25,000 | $30,000 | $35,000 | 3.7 |
| 12 | 12,205 | $3,184 | $30,000 | $36,000 | $42,000 | 4.5 |
| Alaska $ per watt | 100% retail | 75% | 50% | 25% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2.00 | 7.5 | 10.0 | 15.1 | 30.1 |
| $2.50 | 9.4 | 12.6 | 18.8 | 37.7 |
| $3.00 | 11.3 | 15.1 | 22.6 | 45.2 |
| $3.50 | 13.2 | 17.6 | 26.4 | 52.8 |
| $4.00 | 15.1 | 20.1 | 30.1 | 60.3 |
Alaska: 1,017 kWh/kW × 26.09 ¢ = 265 a year per kW; the 30% column (7.9 years at $3.00) is arithmetic only.
CSVUtility-scale solar in Alaska: 8 MW
Alaska: 8 MW of operable utility-scale solar in 2 plants across 2 counties (EIA-860, 2025), rank 49 of 51; 10 W per resident, rank 49. Solar made 0.1% of Alaska's net generation in 2025 (EIA-923), rank 49, -6.7 points against the national share. Biggest plants: Houston Solar in Matanuska Susitna County, 6 MW (2023); Kotzebue Hybrid in NORTHWEST ARCTIC County, 2 MW (2023). By county: Matanuska Susitna 6 MW, NORTHWEST ARCTIC 2 MW. Proposed: 0 MW under construction (0 plants) and 0 MW planned (0 plants); batteries 132 MW running and 0 MW proposed.
| Alaska year | MW added | Cumulative share of today's MW |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 0 | 0% |
| 2020 | 1 | 10% |
| 2021 | 0 | 10% |
| 2022 | 0 | 10% |
| 2023 | 7 | 100% |
| 2024 | 0 | 100% |
| 2025 | 0 | 100% |
Net metering and CO2 in Alaska
EIA-861 (2024): 2,771 home net-metered systems in Alaska, 9.3 per 1,000 accounts (rank 34), average 5.4 kW.
6 kW in Alaska: 6,103 kWh a year displaces 2.2 t CO2 at 0.367 kg per kWh, -0.8 t against the average state.
Alaska utilities and solar payback
| Alaska utility | Homes | Price ¢ | Value of 1 kW | Payback at $3.00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chugach Electric Assn Inc | 97,048 | 21.24 | $216 | 13.9 yr |
| Matanuska Electric Assn Inc | 64,205 | 23.37 | $238 | 12.6 yr |
| Golden Valley Elec Assn Inc | 40,675 | 30.32 | $308 | 9.7 yr |
| Homer Electric Assn Inc | 29,721 | 29.79 | $303 | 9.9 yr |
| Alaska Electric Light & Power Co. | 15,407 | 12.93 | $132 | 22.8 yr |
| Alaska Village Elec Coop, Inc | 7,689 | 69.95 | $711 | 4.2 yr |
| Ketchikan Public Utilities | 6,561 | 12.48 | $127 | 23.6 yr |
| Alaska Power and Telephone Co | 5,737 | 37.18 | $378 | 7.9 yr |
| Kodiak Electric Assn Inc | 4,772 | 18.83 | $192 | 15.7 yr |
Alaska among its neighbours
| Closest to Alaska | Payback, years | kWh per kW | Price, ¢ | Utility-scale solar, points of generation | Miles away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska (this page) | 11.3 | 1,017 | 26.09 | 0.1 | - |
| Washington | +10.2 | +45 | -12.98 | +0.5 | 1,447 |
| Oregon | +6.0 | +113 | -10.72 | +4.1 | 1,562 |
| Montana | +6.3 | +298 | -13.11 | +1.2 | 1,796 |
| Idaho | +7.2 | +354 | -14.27 | +7.9 | 1,807 |
Alaska against its neighbours in the payback ranking
- -1 places, New Mexico -0.2 years against Alaska
- +0 places, Arizona -0.1 years against Alaska
- Alaska, rank 15: 11.3 years
- +2 places, Michigan +0.4 years against Alaska
- +3 places, Colorado +1.0 years against Alaska
Your numbers for Alaska
Limits in Alaska
Alaska: with the old 30% credit (IRS, ended 2025) payback would be 7.9 years instead of 11.3, so the calculator starts at 0%. No Alaska export rates in our data: output counts at 26.09 ¢. All limits.
Sources for Alaska
- PVWatts v8 (NLR), 5 Alaska cities and one state point: 1,017 kWh per kW
- EIA-860 2025 and EIA-923 2025: 8 MW of solar in Alaska
- EIA-861 2024: 2,771 net-metered systems in Alaska
- EIA retail sales 2025: 26.09 ¢ per kWh in Alaska
- IRS 25D (ended 2025): 7.9 years in Alaska with it; licences and periods for Alaska
More about Alaska
Alaska electricity hub, Alaska EV charging: 70 stations, where Alaska ranks for rooftop solar, 11.3 years against 51 states, Alaska calculators.
Questions
Alaska sunshine for solar panels?
1,017 kWh per kW a year at the state point, rank 51 of 51; from 675 in Juneau to 951 in Anchorage.
Winter cut in Alaska solar output?
December to February give 7% of the year; May makes 153 kWh per kW and Dec 13.
Where in Alaska is solar best?
Yes: 34% between Juneau and Anchorage in yearly output.
Alaska utility-scale solar capacity?
8 MW in 2 plants (EIA-860), 10 W per resident, rank 49; 0 MW proposed.
Alaska electricity from solar, what share?
0.1% of 2025 net generation, rank 49 of 51, -6.7 points against the nation.
Solar payback in Alaska?
11.3 years at $3.00 a watt; 9.4 at $2.50; 13.2 at $3.50; 1,017 kWh per kW at 26.09 ¢.
Net metering in Alaska?
2,771 systems, 9.3 per 1,000 accounts, rank 34.
Alaska pays half price for exports?
Payback 22.6 years at a 50% retail share.
CO2 displaced in Alaska?
2.2 t a year on 6 kW at 0.367 kg per kWh.
Federal solar credit in Alaska: still available?
Ended 2025 (IRS 25D); with it Alaska payback would be 7.9 years, not 11.3.