Best states for heat pumps: where electricity beats gas
At a seasonal COP of 3.0, a heat pump costs 42% less than a 95% gas furnace to run in Florida, 36% less in Arkansas. It costs more than gas in 28 of 45 states, for example Alaska, where it costs 94% more. 2 states are both colder than the average state and still cheaper to heat with a heat pump: Washington, Oregon.
Find your state
Pick a state to see where it ranks.
- -94% to -39%
- -39% to -23%
- -23% to -3%
- -3% to +19%
- +19% to +42%
Florida +42% first, Alaska -94% last: the map links to each state.
All 45 ranked places
The table, sortable
| 1 | Florida | +42 | 1.73 | 774 | 15.24 | 25.48 | Heating degree-days 774, -87% vs median; 7% ahead of Arkansas; Break-even COP 1.73, -51% vs median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arkansas | +36 | 1.92 | 3,547 | 12.84 | 19.25 | Break-even COP 1.92, -45% vs median; 7% apart from Florida; Heating degree-days 3,547, -39% vs median |
| 3 | Georgia | +31 | 2.08 | 3,015 | 14.73 | 20.42 | Break-even COP 2.08, -41% vs median; 5% apart from Arkansas; Heating degree-days 3,015, -48% vs median |
| 4 | Louisiana | +31 | 2.08 | 1,786 | 12.57 | 17.39 | Heating degree-days 1,786, -69% vs median; 0% apart from Georgia; Break-even COP 2.08, -41% vs median |
| 5 | Washington | +28 | 2.15 | 5,939 | 13.11 | 17.62 | Clean share 80.8, +87% vs median; 2% apart from Louisiana; Break-even COP 2.15, -39% vs median |
| 6 | Hawaii | +25 | 2.24 | No data | 40.59 | 52.38 | Gas $/Mcf 52.38, +264% vs median; 3% apart from Washington; Electricity ¢/kWh 40.59, +165% vs median |
| 7 | Texas | +23 | 2.30 | 2,035 | 15.47 | 19.42 | Heating degree-days 2,035, -65% vs median; 2% apart from Hawaii; Break-even COP 2.30, -35% vs median |
| 8 | Arizona | +21 | 2.38 | 2,207 | 15.32 | 18.58 | Heating degree-days 2,207, -62% vs median; 3% apart from Texas; Break-even COP 2.38, -32% vs median |
| 9 | Mississippi | +19 | 2.43 | 2,521 | 14.03 | 16.65 | Heating degree-days 2,521, -57% vs median; 2% apart from Arizona; Break-even COP 2.43, -31% vs median |
| 10 | Missouri | +13 | 2.60 | 5,223 | 13.49 | 14.94 | Clean share 23.0, -47% vs median; 6% apart from Mississippi; Break-even COP 2.60, -26% vs median |
| 11 | Virginia | +13 | 2.62 | 4,577 | 15.28 | 16.79 | 1% apart from Missouri; Break-even COP 2.62, -25% vs median |
| 12 | Oklahoma | +12 | 2.63 | 3,725 | 13.12 | 14.38 | Heating degree-days 3,725, -36% vs median; 0% apart from Virginia; Break-even COP 2.63, -25% vs median |
| 13 | Alabama | +12 | 2.64 | 2,820 | 16.10 | 17.56 | Heating degree-days 2,820, -52% vs median; 0% apart from Oklahoma; Break-even COP 2.64, -25% vs median |
| 14 | Oregon | +12 | 2.65 | 5,633 | 15.37 | 16.71 | Clean share 64.5, +49% vs median; 0% apart from Alabama; Break-even COP 2.65, -24% vs median |
| 15 | Kentucky | +11 | 2.68 | 4,654 | 13.24 | 14.23 | Clean share 8.7, -80% vs median; 1% apart from Oregon; Break-even COP 2.68, -24% vs median |
| 16 | Kansas | +5 | 2.84 | 5,140 | 14.56 | 14.81 | 5% apart from Kentucky; Clean share 62.9, +46% vs median |
| 17 | Nevada | +4 | 2.89 | 3,762 | 13.15 | 13.14 | 2% apart from Kansas; Heating degree-days 3,762, -35% vs median |
| 18 | Delaware | -3 | 3.09 | 4,943 | 17.13 | 15.97 | 7% apart from Nevada; Clean share 4.2, -90% vs median |
| 19 | Nebraska | -4 | 3.12 | 6,619 | 12.34 | 11.40 | 1% apart from Delaware; Electricity ¢/kWh 12.34, -19% vs median |
| 20 | Tennessee | -7 | 3.21 | 3,961 | 13.18 | 11.84 | 3% apart from Nebraska; Heating degree-days 3,961, -32% vs median |
| 21 | West Virginia | -7 | 3.22 | 5,359 | 15.41 | 13.80 | 0% apart from Tennessee; Clean share 6.8, -84% vs median |
| 22 | Wyoming | -10 | 3.29 | 8,703 | 13.38 | 11.74 | 2% apart from West Virginia; Heating degree-days 8,703, +50% vs median |
| 23 | Massachusetts | -17 | 3.51 | 6,635 | 30.48 | 25.06 | Electricity ¢/kWh 30.48, +99% vs median; 7% apart from Wyoming; Gas $/Mcf 25.06, +74% vs median |
| 24 | Ohio | -18 | 3.53 | 6,062 | 16.96 | 13.85 | 1% apart from Massachusetts; Clean share 19.9, -54% vs median |
| 25 | North Dakota | -20 | 3.59 | 9,619 | 11.81 | 9.50 | Heating degree-days 9,619, +65% vs median; 2% apart from Ohio; Electricity ¢/kWh 11.81, -23% vs median |
| 26 | Vermont | -22 | 3.67 | 8,577 | 22.92 | 18.00 | Clean share 99.8, +131% vs median; 3% apart from North Dakota; Heating degree-days 8,577, +47% vs median |
| 27 | Utah | -23 | 3.70 | 7,410 | 13.07 | 10.19 | Clean share 22.2, -49% vs median; 1% apart from Vermont; Heating degree-days 7,410, +27% vs median |
| 28 | Pennsylvania | -23 | 3.70 | 6,110 | 19.30 | 15.04 | 0% apart from Utah; Clean share 34.3, -21% vs median |
| 29 | Iowa | -24 | 3.73 | 7,082 | 13.72 | 10.61 | Clean share 62.0, +44% vs median; 1% apart from Pennsylvania; Gas $/Mcf 10.61, -26% vs median |
| 30 | District of Columbia | -26 | 3.79 | No data | 21.94 | 16.68 | 2% apart from Iowa; Electricity ¢/kWh 21.94, +43% vs median |
| 31 | New Hampshire | -27 | 3.81 | 7,959 | 24.56 | 18.61 | Clean share 69.7, +62% vs median; 0% apart from District of Columbia; Electricity ¢/kWh 24.56, +60% vs median |
| 32 | South Dakota | -30 | 3.91 | 7,977 | 13.38 | 9.86 | Clean share 79.5, +84% vs median; 4% apart from New Hampshire; Heating degree-days 7,977, +37% vs median |
| 33 | Indiana | -36 | 4.07 | 5,941 | 16.23 | 11.49 | Clean share 16.2, -62% vs median; 5% apart from South Dakota; Break-even COP 4.07, +16% vs median |
| 34 | Colorado | -36 | 4.09 | 7,502 | 15.85 | 11.17 | Heating degree-days 7,502, +29% vs median; 1% apart from Indiana; Break-even COP 4.09, +17% vs median |
| 35 | Minnesota | -39 | 4.16 | 9,035 | 15.82 | 10.98 | Heating degree-days 9,035, +55% vs median; 2% apart from Colorado; Break-even COP 4.16, +18% vs median |
| 36 | Montana | -39 | 4.16 | 8,999 | 12.98 | 8.99 | Heating degree-days 8,999, +55% vs median; 0% apart from Minnesota; Gas $/Mcf 8.99, -37% vs median |
| 37 | California | -42 | 4.26 | 3,253 | 32.54 | 22.01 | Electricity ¢/kWh 32.54, +112% vs median; 3% apart from Montana; Heating degree-days 3,253, -44% vs median |
| 38 | New York | -44 | 4.33 | 6,495 | 26.39 | 17.58 | Electricity ¢/kWh 26.39, +72% vs median; 2% apart from California; Break-even COP 4.33, +23% vs median |
| 39 | New Mexico | -47 | 4.42 | 4,858 | 15.08 | 9.83 | Break-even COP 4.42, +26% vs median; 3% apart from New York; Gas $/Mcf 9.83, -32% vs median |
| 40 | Idaho | -48 | 4.43 | 7,220 | 11.82 | 7.69 | Clean share 68.5, +59% vs median; 0% apart from New Mexico; Gas $/Mcf 7.69, -47% vs median |
| 41 | Illinois | -51 | 4.54 | 6,437 | 17.69 | 11.25 | Break-even COP 4.54, +29% vs median; 3% apart from Idaho; Clean share 67.7, +57% vs median |
| 42 | New Jersey | -53 | 4.59 | 5,702 | 22.63 | 14.21 | Break-even COP 4.59, +31% vs median; 2% apart from Illinois; Electricity ¢/kWh 22.63, +48% vs median |
| 43 | Wisconsin | -63 | 4.88 | 7,934 | 18.16 | 10.74 | Break-even COP 4.88, +39% vs median; 9% apart from New Jersey; Heating degree-days 7,934, +36% vs median |
| 44 | Michigan | -76 | 5.29 | 7,201 | 20.01 | 10.92 | Break-even COP 5.29, +51% vs median; 14% apart from Wisconsin; Heating degree-days 7,201, +24% vs median |
| 45 | Alaska | -94 | 5.81 | No data | 26.09 | 12.96 | Break-even COP 5.81, +66% vs median; 17% apart from Michigan; Electricity ¢/kWh 26.09, +70% vs median |
Florida +42% to Alaska -94%; 45 rows in the CSV.
CSVNot ranked: Connecticut, Maryland, Maine, North Carolina, Rhode Island, South Carolina.
Why the top and the bottom differ
Break-even COP is the efficiency at which the heat pump matches gas: Florida needs only 1.73, Alaska needs 5.81. Real COP falls in very cold weather, so cold-state results are best read against the heating degree-days in the table. Propane, oil and resistance heat are left out; see the heating cost page.
| Measure | First 10 (Florida to Missouri) | Last 10 (Montana to Alaska) | All 45 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saving vs gas, % | +27 | -56 | -13 |
| Break-even COP | 2.19 | 4.67 | 3.40 |
| Electricity ¢/kWh | 16.74 | 20.34 | 17.31 |
| Gas $/Mcf | 22.21 | 12.62 | 15.59 |
| Heating degree-days (normal) | 3,005 | 6,455 | 5,594 |
| Clean share of generation, % | 36.0 | 49.7 | 42.4 |
Across the states, best states for heat pumps moves most closely with (r, a pattern and not a cause; glossary):
- heating degree-days: r = -0.68 across 42 states
- cooling degree-days: r = +0.68 across 42 states
- monthly home use: r = +0.67 across 45 states
- median household income: r = -0.29 across 45 states
Best states for heat pumps: regions and residents
By Census division, West South Central comes first on best states for heat pumps (mean 26%) and East North Central last (-49%). Between West South Central and East North Central the means are 74% apart; Florida and Alaska are 136% apart: most of the spread sits between states, not between regions.
| Census division | States | Mean, best states for heat pumps | Ranked highest | Ranked lowest | Median rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England | 3 | -22% | Massachusetts -17% | New Hampshire -27% | 26 |
| Middle Atlantic | 3 | -40% | Pennsylvania -23% | New Jersey -53% | 38 |
| East North Central | 5 | -49% | Ohio -18% | Michigan -76% | 41 |
| West North Central | 7 | -14% | Missouri +13% | Minnesota -39% | 25 |
| South Atlantic | 6 | +8% | Florida +42% | District of Columbia -26% | 14 |
| East South Central | 4 | +9% | Mississippi +19% | Tennessee -7% | 14 |
| West South Central | 4 | +26% | Arkansas +36% | Oklahoma +12% | 6 |
| Mountain | 8 | -22% | Arizona +21% | Idaho -48% | 30 |
| Pacific | 5 | -14% | Washington +28% | Alaska -94% | 14 |
One vote per state or one per resident? On best states for heat pumps the answers are the median state -17%, the plain state mean -13%, weighted by residents -12%.
| Group | Residents | Share of ranked residents | Mean of states | Mean weighted by residents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First 10: Florida to Missouri | 96 million | 31% | +27% | +29% |
| Middle 25: Virginia to Minnesota | 106 million | 35% | -12% | -12% |
| Last 10: Montana to Alaska | 103 million | 34% | -56% | -50% |
Biggest steps between neighbours in this order:
- 44th to 45th: Michigan to Alaska, 17% apart
- 43rd to 44th: Wisconsin to Michigan, 14% apart
- 42nd to 43rd: New Jersey to Wisconsin, 9% apart
- 22nd to 23rd: Wyoming to Massachusetts, 7% apart
Within 10% of leader Florida (+42%): 0 other places; within 25%: 1. The tenth place, Missouri, is 29% from the leader and the last, Alaska, 136%.
Heat pump saving vs gas, % against Heating degree-days (normal year)
42 dots, one per state; Florida is highest on heat pump saving vs gas, % and Michigan lowest. Fit line r = -0.68.
42 states: first 8 of 42 rows
| State | Heating degree-days (normal year) | Heat pump saving vs gas, % |
|---|---|---|
| Florida | 774.00 | 42.49 |
| Arkansas | 3547.00 | 35.87 |
| Georgia | 3015.00 | 30.64 |
| Louisiana | 1786.00 | 30.50 |
| Washington | 5939.00 | 28.46 |
| Texas | 2035.00 | 23.41 |
| Arizona | 2207.00 | 20.72 |
| Mississippi | 2521.00 | 18.98 |
Florida is highest on the vertical axis (+42), Michigan lowest (-76).
CSVTry your own numbers
Set the heat pump efficiency. The page counts the states where it beats a 95% gas furnace on fuel cost.
Sources
From EIA retail sales, EIA gas prices, NOAA degree-days.
Cost per MMBtu of heat: gas = price per Mcf / 1.036 / furnace efficiency 0.95; heat pump = electricity price per kWh x 293.071 / COP 3.0. EIA 2025 average residential prices. Saving = 1 minus heat pump cost over gas cost.
Periods, retrieval dates and licences: data sources.
Related to best states for heat pumps
Questions
Which state is best for a heat pump?
On fuel cost against gas, Florida (+42% at COP 3.0), then Arkansas (+36%) and Georgia (+31%). EIA 2025 average residential prices.
Where is a heat pump more expensive than gas?
In 28 of 45 states with data, led by Alaska (heat pump costs 94% more) and Michigan (76% more).
What is COP?
Coefficient of performance: units of heat delivered per unit of electricity used. A COP of 3 means 1 kWh of electricity gives 3 kWh of heat.
Why is COP 3.0 used?
It is a seasonal average assumption for a common modern air-source heat pump. A cold-climate model or a ground-source system can be higher, an old one lower. Move the slider on this page.
Are all states covered?
No. 6 states have no gas price in our file: Connecticut, Maryland, Maine, North Carolina, Rhode Island, South Carolina.
Does this include the cost of buying the heat pump?
No. Only the fuel cost per unit of heat. Equipment, installation, incentives and the cost of switching are not included.
Do cold states work with heat pumps?
Our data give heating degree-days and prices, not the performance of a given model at low temperatures. Use the table to see which cold states still come out ahead on fuel cost.